Tropical Storm Erin to Flood Texas

As my friend Steve Miller wrote about in his blog, another round of flooding is in store for a large part of Texas which is only now really starting to dry out from flooding rains earlier this year, after an extreme drought the previous year! This storm will potentially bring 6 to 10+ inches of rain in a short time frame from Corpus Christi, TX north-northwestward through the Texas Hill Country and into west Central Texas.

Tropical Storm Erin Flooding

Flash Flood watches have already been hoisted across these areas as they are often prone to flooding when receiving large amounts of rain in a short period of time. An important observation is that most if not all of the lakes and reservoirs across the area are already at or near storage capacity. I suspect you will be seeing many stories in the news in the coming days for the effects of the flooding in Texas, and the deaths that always come with it from people that are stupid enough to drive into flooded areas.Flooding is nothing to be playing around with, especially in a car. You might have crossed that road a million times before, but you don’t know if those flood waters have washed out that small bridge, or the road bed. It takes a surprisingly low amount of water to float a vehicle!

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If you live near the coast or flood prone areas, here is a nice tool to help you assess your flooding potential. FloodSmart.gov and click on the #2 link on the left WHAT’S YOUR FLOOD RISK? You can input your address and retrieve a flood map of your area.

In addition to the flooding thread there does seem to be some tornado potential as well with the added shear from the storm system. While the potential for some tornadoes to chase would normally be something I would be interested in, the high flooding potential ruins it for me, as almost all backroads and many farm to market paved roads will be unpredictably impassible, making for an extremely frustrating chase at best. Plus, there is the potential for a hurricane chase a little down the road anyway.

Steve also touched on the even worse impacts in the future in regards to now Hurricane Dean and it’s projected path into the Gulf of Mexico and possibly on in to Texas. Should a track in to Texas verify after Erin moves through, even if Dean comes in as a Tropical Storm (more likely a hurricane if it does come all the way in to Texas) the amounts of flooding across Texas could potentially be catastrophic! In addition to the huge amounts of rain that will come with it, already saturated grounds will insure even more widespread flooding and widespread easily uprooting of trees with their roots only having soggy ground to hold on to.

Will this be a huge 1, 2 punch for Texas?

Comments

6 responses to “Tropical Storm Erin to Flood Texas”

  1. Steve Miller TX Avatar

    Man, the flooding is already bad down in S and SE Texas today from Erin. Interesting that the models are tracking the remnants into W TX and the PH. 2 inches here in Amarillo and we have high-water rescues.

    The trees being more easily uprooted is an excellent point I hadn’t thought of. A similar scenario unfolded years ago somewhere in the SE US and the tree devestation was horrendous. That’s sad because there are alot of majestic and unique oak trees in Brazoria county. I say unique because they have a more contorted branch pattern than other oaks you see. I’ve surmised they grew that way from hurricanes over the years….or perhaps a special strain. They are pretty cool.

    But, Dean could be quite mean and nasty and stronger than any hurricane to hit the TX coast in a very very long time. Latest models are starting to eye Brownsville to Corpus Christi. Yikes.

  2. David Avatar

    Yeah I had looked at the GFS yesterday late and noted it was showing in coming in near Brownsville. Honestly, just from a chasing perspective I would much rather chase it down that way than over around the Houston area. Much, much less trees to deal with, and the ones there are aren’t as tall.

  3. Dewdrop Avatar

    I can’t even imagine a Houston scneario… how devastating. I am seeing as northward shift now… if that thing slips through the Channel, watch out!

  4. David Avatar

    As expected…

    SAN ANTONIO (AP) – Authorities say they now know of at least five people dead and two missing as the remnants of Tropical Storm Erin pushes across Texas.

    Forecaster say the storms dumped up to 11 inches of rain in parts of San Antonio, Houston and the Texas Hill Country. West Texas braced for as much as eight inches of rain today.

    Searchers in Kendall County today found the body of a father who went missing with his son after their pickup truck was washed over a bridge and into a creek. Authorities say the man’s 28-year-old son remains missing.

    Also today, Texas agriculture officials on set crop losses so far this year from record South Texas rainfall at 200 million. Carl Anderson, a Texas Cooperative Extension economist, predicts that amount will rise.

  5. David Avatar

    I just saw this:

    AT 1012 PM CDT…LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS REPORTED VERY
    HEAVY RAIN OVER THE WARNED AREA. ABILENE POLICE ARE REPORTING
    CATCLAW AND BUTTON CREEKS ARE OUT OF THEIR BANKS. NUMEROUS STREET CLOSURES ARE REPORTED IN ABILENE AND THERE HAVE BEEN OVER 50 WATER RESCUE CALLS IN THE ABILENE AREA.

    I was looking at the storm totals radar estimates, some showing some estimated totals to 11 inches…the max on my radar program!

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