06/14/08 Chase Forecast

Wasn’t really planning on getting out today, as I have a lot of work to get done, but it appears a severe threat in my area is underway so I need to get out and chase for the TV station.

Wind fields throughout the atmosphere are weak, but directional shear is good and moisture isn’t bad for this time of year on the Caprock, with dewpoints in the 50’s west and low 60s off the Caprock.  With a dryline and boundary across the area.

Initiation is already underway near Amarillo and trying to get going along the dryline on the TX/NM border.  I am headed out the door for areas northwest of Lubbock, in the Parmer/Castro/Bailey/Lamb county areas, see what gets going.

I’ll have the LIVE ChaseCam up when I get in the area.  Not expecting much in the way of tornadoes, but rather some high based supercells with some gorilla hail possible and probably some damaging winds. However, with supercells in play, you never know, we may get a spinning surprise.  I’ve had good days before out here on similar setups.

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